Calamity
MediumSevere WeatherCalamity Score: 48

Severe Weather near Michigan City

United StatesNOAA

Right now

The most recent data we hold from NOAA arrived 4 minutes ago, and this point is not in it. We record detections, not passes: an absence is not proof that nothing is there.

Nothing else has been detected within 20 km in the last 24 hours.

This alert expired on 3 July 2026 at 20:15 UTC. It is kept here as a record.

It is the 21st strongest of the 77 detections recorded within 20 km of this point since 3 April 2026. Another comparable one was recorded here earlier the same day. 8 more were recorded here in the fortnight before it.

What the source measured

NOAA reported: Severe Thunderstorm Warning issued July 3 at 2:38PM CDT until July 3 at 3:15PM CDT by NWS Chicago IL

An estimated 653,176 people live within 50 km of this point.

Nearby, since 3 April 2026

How we know

One source: NOAA. Not yet confirmed by a second, independent source.

Our own score for this event is 48 out of 100, at 78 % confidence.

The score is ours, computed from intensity, exposed population and local history — not the source’s.

Computed under scoring rules v1. Rows carrying other versions were judged by different rules and are not directly comparable.

Event Data

TypeSevere Weather
SeverityMedium
Calamity Score (ours)48 / 100
Our confidence78%
Coordinates41.8887, -87.0423
Nearest CityMichigan City (23 km)
Population Exposed653.2K within 50 km
Impact Tiersignificant
Timestamp2026-07-03T19:38:00.000Z
Sourcehttps://api.weather.gov/alerts/merged_Severe Thunderstorm Warning_noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7b709b6ed1aac9613a462e7d10621a62

Score Breakdown

35
intensity
85
population
0
cascading
80
historical

Technical Details

EventSevere Thunderstorm Warning
UrgencyImmediate
CertaintyObserved
AreaDescCook, IL; Will, IL; Berrien, MI and 1 more areas
HeadlineSevere Thunderstorm Warning issued July 3 at 2:38PM CDT until July 3 at 3:15PM CDT by NWS Chicago IL
Expires2026-07-03T15:15:00-05:00
SenderNameNWS Chicago IL
HasExactCoordstrue
MergedCount4
MergedIds["noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.7b709b6ed1aac9613a462e7d10621a62d2fc22a0.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.d1377436d1531f44826982ba542782eaf0f61420.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.fe792135c5896f49289f406b13724da7c5855c17.001.1","noaa_urn:oid:2.49.0.1.840.0.47e372fed86ef349d0837960136fc83300f406c5.001.1"]

Safety Information

Always follow official guidance from your local emergency management agency. This platform provides scientific monitoring data and is not a substitute for official warnings. If you are in immediate danger, contact your local emergency number.

Series begins 8 March 2026. Comparisons refer to that period only. Collection gap: 14-26 August 2026.

This data is aggregated algorithmically from scientific sources. Not a replacement for official emergency warnings.

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